Dear Friends,

This is FYI.

Dr. Michael Beer, Director of the Institute for Risk and Uncertainty, School of Engineering, University of Liverpool, is planning to organize a mini-symposium on the use of imprecise probabilities in civil engineering as a part of this conference, I am sending him a copy of this email.

ICASP12

12th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering, Vancouver, Canada, July 12-15, 2015 (with post-conference activities July 16 and 17, 2015

http://icasp12.ubc.ca/call-for-papers/

Call for Abstracts

The 12th ICASP welcomes high quality research articles from researchers and engineers from around the world in various fields of Civil Engineering. Submissions must follow the instructions posted on this website, starting with the submission of an abstract, which will be peer-reviewed. Subject to acceptance of the abstract, authors are invited to submit a full-length paper, which is also peer reviewed to ensure quality, originality, appropriateness, significance, and readability. Authors of accepted papers are invited to make a presentation at the conference.

Within the realm of applications of statistics and probability in Civil Engineering, the scope of the conference encompass all theoretical and practical aspects of safety and reliability of civil engineering problems, including probabilistic structural engineering, soil mechanics, and risk analysis. The following topics are included in the scope of this conference:

Uncertainty, statistics and probability

Uncertainty modelling, Bayesian statistics, Hyper-parametric representations, Spatial and temporal dependency, First passage and out-crossing problems, Characteristics of stochastic processes and fields.

Decision analysis

Preference modelling, Utility modelling, Normative and descriptive decision analysis, Value of information analysis, Treatment of aleatory and epistemic uncertainty.

Risk assessment

Representation of systems, Quantitative risk assessment, Consequence modelling, Socio-economics and discounting, Risk criteria and acceptability, Risk perception, Risk communication.

Statistical investigations and probabilistic modelling

Experiment planning, Time series analysis, Data mining, Geo-statistical techniques, Regression analysis, Incident and failure time analysis, Extremes values.

Reliability methods

Component reliability analysis, System reliability analysis, FORM/SORM related methods, Time variant reliability analysis, Response surface methodologies, Monte Carlo simulation techniques, Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, Bayesian Probabilistic Nets, Petri Nets, Large/complex systems techniques.

Structural reliability

Optimal design of new structures, Assessment of existing structures, Vulnerability modelling, Robustness assessment, Stochastic finite elements, Stochastic dynamics.

Probabilistic modelling in engineering

Material characteristics; steel, concrete, timber, glass, composites, Soil characteristics, Load combinations, Wind loads, Snow loads, Traffic loads, Waves, current and surge, Fire and explosion modelling, Fatigue and fracture mechanics , Corrosion, Contamination, Climatic modelling and down-scaling, Inspection modelling, Repair modelling.

Natural hazards modelling

Earthquakes, Typhoons and hurricanes, Rock-fall, Avalanches, Landslides, Floods, Tsunamis, Volcanic eruptions.

Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis

Seismic hazard analysis, Earthquake loss and risk assessment, Portfolio loss modelling.

Life-cycle analysis

Life-cycle cost modelling, Discounting, Renewal theoretical concepts, Sustainability modelling.

Human and organizational factors

Human errors, Organizational errors, Ergonomics, Quality control.

Applications

Law and policy making, Code calibration, Optimal structural design, Upgrading and life extension, Design of protection structures, Inspection and maintenance planning, Environmental risk assessment, Strategic resource allocation for multi-hazard risk management, GIS based risk management systems, Health monitoring and smart structures, Large scale earthquake risk management, Flood and tsunami risk management, Risk management of infrastructure systems (traffic, energy, water, waste disposal), Fire risk design, management and loss estimation, Design and maintenance of bridges, offshore, marine and wind turbine structures, Risk assessment and safety management for tunnels and roads, Typhoon and hurricane loss assessment, Nuclear facility risk management, Insurance hazards and risk modelling, Disaster prevention and loss reduction, Risk based strategies for aid and governance.

Important Dates

March 21, 2014: Deadline for submission of proposals to organize mini-symposia

April 4, 2014: Notification of acceptance of mini-symposia

June 20, 2014: Deadline for submission of abstracts for review

September 19, 2014: Notification of acceptance of abstracts

December 19, 2014: Deadline for submission of full-length papers for review

December 19, 2014: Deadline for application for Student Awards

February 27, 2015: Notification of review results for full-length papers

February 27, 2015: Notification of Student Awards

March 27, 2015: Deadline for submission of final version of full-length papers

March 27, 2015: Early-bird registration deadline

March 27, 2015: Final registration deadline for authors; each paper must be associated with a payment by this date