January 2015 - SIPTA News - lists.sipta.org

Re: [SIPTA] IFSA-EUSFLAT 2015: CFP - Submission deadline extension.

by Kreinovich

Jan. 10, 2015

[SIPTA] ESREL special session on Bayesian modelling to handle epistemic uncertainty in risk and reliability

by Matthias Troffaes

Dear colleagues, See below, another ESREL special session that might be of interest to our community. Although not as explicitly mentioned, imprecise probability contributions (e.g. robust Bayesian methods for risk & reliability modelling) are also very welcome. Cheers, Matthias ---------- Forwarded message ---------- From: Ullrika Sahlin <ullrika.sahlin(a)cec.lu.se> Date: Fri, Jan 9, 2015 at 10:20 AM Welcome to submit papers and to a special session on "Bayesian modelling to handle epistemic uncertainty in risk and reliability” at the next European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL) to be held in Zurich, September 7-10, 2015. The session is organized by Dr Ullrika Sahlin Lund University, Dr John Paul Gosling University of Leeds and Dr Kevin Wilson University of Strathclyde who can provide further information. This special session aims to give a broad overview of applications of Bayesian modelling to handle knowledge-based uncertainty in assessments and decision making. We welcome both applied and conceptual contributions in dealing with knowledge-based uncertainty using a Bayesian framework. For example, contributions are sought on the applications and theoretical considerations of expert elicitation, characterising uncertainty in model parameters and structure, learning strategies and evidence synthesis. The deadline for submitting a 400-word abstract is January 31st. Author guidelines can be found here: http://esrel2015.ethz.ch/?page_id=29 The paper submission system is now open: http://esrel2015.ethz.ch/system/index.php/esrel/2015/login. Don’t forget to indicate the special session when submitting your abstract, or send Ullrika an email (ullrika.sahlin(a)cec.lu.se) indicating that you would like to be part of this session. We look forward to hear from you Ullrika, John Paul and Kevin

Jan. 9, 2015

[SIPTA] Fwd: Invitation to session on Info-gap theory in safety and reliability assessments

by Matthias Troffaes

Dear colleagues, This may be of interest to some of you - note the deadline of 31 January for abstracts. Cheers, Matthias ---------- Forwarded message ---------- From: Ullrika Sahlin <ullrika.sahlin(a)cec.lu.se> Date: Mon, Dec 29, 2014 at 9:44 AM Subject: Invitation to session on Info-gap theory in safety and reliability assessments Welcome to submit a paper to a special session on Info-gap theory in safety and reliability assessments at the next European Safety and Reliability Conference ESREL to be held in Zürich September 7 – 10th 2015. Besides hosting some state-of-the art applications of info-gap theory in assessments the aims of this session are to 1) Demonstrate the potential of using info-gap theory to deal with weaknesses in underlying information or uncertainty arising from making severe extrapolations. 2) Discuss basic concepts behind info-gap theory and how these relate to concepts of risk, uncertainty and decision theory. 3) Encourage novel applications of info-gap theory to treat and communicate epistemic uncertainty in the space between uncertainty quantified by knowledge-based Bayesian probabilities and uncertainty quantified by non-probabilistic measures. This session is organized by Dr. Ullrika Sahlin and I am happy to provide you with further information. Deadline for abstract submission is January 31st. The paper submission system is now open, http://esrel2015.ethz.ch/system/index.php/esrel/2015/login. Don’t forget to indicate the special session at abstract submission or send us an email that you would like to be part of this session. Please forward this invitation to people in your network that may be keen in contributing!

Jan. 5, 2015