- SIPTA News - lists.sipta.org

[SIPTA] 2nd CFP: Progic 2013 "Combining probability and logic to solve philosophical problems", Munich, 17-18 Sept. 2013
by Niki Pfeifer Feb. 5, 2013

Feb. 5, 2013

Call for papers --------------- Progic 2013: The Sixth Workshop on Combining Probability and Logic "Combining probability and logic to solve philosophical problems" Workshop website: www.pfeifer-research.de/progic/ Introduction ------------ The Sixth Workshop on Combining Probability and Logic (progic 2013) continues the progic workshop series (www.kent.ac.uk/secl/philosophy/jw/progic.htm) Progic 2013 takes place on September 17 and 18, 2013. The workshop location is the Carl Friedrich von Siemens Stiftung, which is located at the Nymphenburg Palace in Munich. The workshop is financially supported by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation and hosted by the Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy. Progic 2013 focuses on "Combining probability and logic to solve philosophical problems". Topics include but are not restricted to -) acceptability -) argument strength -) belief revision -) conditionals -) conditionalization -) counterfactuals -) information -) probability logic Scholars who combine probability and logic to elaborate new solutions to philosophical problems are invited to submit an extended abstract (two pages, prepared for blind review) for presentation at the workshop (40 min. talk, 10 min. discussion). Contributors should indicate if they are prepared to submit a paper to the progic 2013 special issue in the Journal of Applied Logic. Invited speakers are Igor Douven (Faculty of Philosophy, University of Groningen), Alan Hájek (School of Philosophy, Australian National University), Kevin T. Kelly (Center for Formal Epistemology, Carnegie Mellon University), Hannes Leitgeb (Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich), and Peter Milne (Department of Philosophy, University of Stirling). Invited talks ------------- -) Igor Douven: Conditionals and closure. Abstract: www.pfeifer-research.de/progic/abstracts.html#douven -) Alan Hájek: Probabilities of counterfactuals and counterfactual probabilities. Abstract: www.pfeifer-research.de/progic/abstracts.html#hajek -) Kevin T. Kelly and Hanti Lin: Qualitative reasoning that tracks Jeffrey conditioning. Abstract: www.pfeifer-research.de/progic/abstracts.html#kelly -) Hannes Leitgeb Belief: and stable probability. Abstract: www.pfeifer-research.de/progic/abstracts.html#leitgeb -) Peter Milne: Information, confirmation, and conditionals. Abstract: www.pfeifer-research.de/progic/abstracts.html#milne Important dates --------------- Deadline for extended abstracts: April 15, 2013 Notification of acceptance of extended abstracts: May 1, 2013 Deadline for full papers: September 1, 2013 Workshop dates: September 17-18, 2013 Notification of acceptance of full papers: November 15, 2013 Deadline for final versions of full papers: December 15, 2013 The extended abstracts (max. two pages) should be sent in PDF format to niki(dot)pfeifer(at)lrz(dot)uni-muenchen(dot)de Local organizer --------------- Niki Pfeifer (Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich) Steering committee ----------------- Jeff Helzner (Department Philosophy, Columbia University) Niki Pfeifer (Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich) Jan-Willem Romeijn (Department of Philosophy, University of Groningen) Gregory Wheeler (Centre for Research in Artificial Intelligence, New University of Lisbon) Jon Williamson (Department of Philosophy & Centre for Reasoning, University of Kent) -- Dr.Dr. Niki Pfeifer www.pfeifer-research.de Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich (Germany)

1 0

[SIPTA] Workshop: SIMRIDE 2013 (18-21 March, Durham) - 3rd Announcement
by Matthias Troffaes Feb. 5, 2013

Feb. 5, 2013

[Apologies for cross-posting] Website: http://www.maths.dur.ac.uk/users/matthias.troffaes/simride2013/ Registration: https://www.dur.ac.uk/conference.booking/details/?id=176 Registration deadline: 18 Feb 2013 Workshop: 18-21 March 2013 The Department of Mathematical Sciences and the School of Engineering and Computing Sciences, Durham University, organise a workshop on uncertainty quantification and data assimilation in numerical simulation of physical systems for risk-informed decision making; in short, simulation for risk-informed decisions, or SIMRIDE. The workshop will run from Monday 18 March until Thursday 21 March 2013. Key to solving many large industrial scale problems is assimilation of data along with real-time simulation of a physical system, combined with uncertainty quantification to allow risk-informed decisions to be made. Often these systems are highly non-linear and require vast computing power, which presents a serious challenge to assimilation of data in real-time, and to quantify uncertainty bounds resulting from model uncertainty and measurement error. A major aim of SIMRIDE is to facilitate the link between industry and academia. The workshop will consist of talks by people from both camps, with ample time for discussion in a relaxed environment. The themes of each day are as follows: * Monday: Risk & Decision (keynote by Simon Blake, ECS, UK) * Tuesday: Extreme Events (keynote by David Randell, Shell, UK) * Wednesday: Simulation (keynote by Michael Goldstein, Maths, Durham) * Thursday: Energy (keynote by Robert Jeffers, Idaho National Laboratory, US) A draft programme with confirmed speakers is available at: http://www.maths.dur.ac.uk/users/matthias.troffaes/simride2013/programme.ht… There will be a formal workshop dinner on Tuesday 19 March. Everyone, including PhD students, is welcome to participate and/or to present their views. Registration for the first 25 places on this workshop is free, as these places are funded by an EPSRC grant. Once these places have been used up, a fee of around 150 GBP will be charged. Registration covers coffee & biscuits during breaks, buffet lunch, the workshop dinner and conference materials. You can register via the following website: https://www.dur.ac.uk/conference.booking/details/?id=176 The deadline for registration is 18 February 2013. If you require any further information, then please do not hesitate to contact one of the organisers. Best wishes, Matthias Troffaes (matthias.troffaes(a)gmail.com) Grant Ingram (g.l.ingram(a)durham.ac.uk)

1 0

[SIPTA] WPMSIIP 2013 - First Announcement
by Alessandro Antonucci Feb. 5, 2013

Feb. 5, 2013

WPMSIIP 2013 (5-10 Sept 2013, Lugano, Switzerland) Sixth Workshop on Principles and Methods of Statistical Inference with Interval Probability http://ipg.idsia.ch/wpmsiip2013 Dear friends and colleagues, The Imprecise Probability Group (ipg.idsia.ch) at the Dalle Molle Institute for Artificial Intelligence (IDSIA) organizes a workshop on principles and methods of statistical inference with interval (and more generally imprecise) probability. This workshop is a follow-up to five earlier WPMSIIPs held in Durham (2008, 2010), Munich (2009, 2012), and Ljubljana (2011). The workshop runs from Thursday the 5th of September until Tuesday the 10th of September 2013. Each of the five workdays of the workshop will start at 9am and will be focused on a specific topic. On Sunday the 8th of September a walking tour in the mountain area around Lugano is planned. The major aim of the workshop is to stimulate discussion on ongoing research, therefore especially the afternoons are structured very informally. Everyone, including PhD students, is welcome to participate and/or to present their views on one or more of the covered topics, on one or more days! We welcome any stimulating contribution, ranging from a presentation to a short informal statement. For more information and a tentative programme, please visit: http://ipg.idsia.ch/wpmsiip2013 If you want to join the workshop, please contact Alessandro Antonucci (alessandro(a)idsia.ch). _________________________________ Alessandro Antonucci IDSIA Dalle Molle Institute for Artificial Intelligence Via Cantonale (Galleria 2) CH-6928, Manno-Lugano, CH mail: alessandro(a)idsia.ch web: www.idsia.ch/~alessandro skype: alessandro.antonucci tel: +41 58 666 65 15 mob: +39 345 812 70 17 _________________________________

1 0

[SIPTA] FW: Bayesian Prediction Market Participation Opportunity
by Kreinovich Feb. 4, 2013

Feb. 4, 2013

FYI -----Original Message----- >From Kathryn B Laskey * Do you have a method for forecasting, timeseries analysis, statistical inference, bias correction, or recalibration? * Could you apply it to realtime forecasts of current events (like international politics, global economics, political stability, or health & technology trends)? * Are you willing to test it against humans and machines in a points-based crowdsourcing experiment? If so, you are invited to participate in DAGGRE, a research project sponsored by the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA), part of the Office of the Director of National Intelligence. Research has shown that groups tend to do better than most individuals, and that you can be pretty accurate in many cases by simply averaging everyone's opinion (the "wisdom of the crowds" effect). Our goal is to improve on this averaging strategy to dramatically enhance the accuracy, precision and timeliness in crowdsourced forecasts of strategic interest. DAGGRE uses a combinatorial prediction market to aggregate information from large numbers of participants to arrive at a market consensus forecast. The market is essentially set up as a game, where events are listed for you to make estimates of their probability. You gain or lose points depending on how close your prediction is to the final resolution. The current market probability reflects the market consensus of the likelihood that the event will happen. When the truth is revealed (i.e., the event happens or the expiration date arrives without the event happening), participants gain or lose points based on the forecasts they made. If you're interested in learning more, we will be hosting an All-Inclusive Forecasting Workshop in Los Angeles, CA in early March for all interested participants. The workshop provides expert training and hands-on sessions to help you become better forecasters. You will have the opportunity to learn how to score well in the prediction market, how to anticipate and correct cognitive biases, and to use tools, techniques, and theories from the judgment and decision sciences that are used across government and industry to predict the future. Join the DAGGRE team now and together we can predict tomorrow, today. To qualify for participation, you must be a U.S. citizen at least 18 years of age. For more information, please visit daggre.org or email us at daggre(a)c4i.gmu.edu

1 0

[SIPTA] CFP: IJCAI'13 Workshop on Advances in Preference Handling
by Paolo Viappiani Jan. 31, 2013

Jan. 31, 2013

1 0

Re: [SIPTA] Uncertainty Quantification session at The Second International Conference on Applied Mathematics and Informatics ICAMI'2013, San Andres Island, Colombia, November 24-29, 2013
by Kreinovich Jan. 29, 2013

Jan. 29, 2013

The conference organizers plan to have a special session on Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) and Visualization in Scientific Computing. All topics related to uncertainty quantification are welcome, including imprecise probabilities. The expected deadline for abstracts in June 30, 2013. P.S. Please let us know ASAP, by email to Vladik(a)utep.edu and raromero2(a)utep.edu, if you are interested in attending, and, if possible, send a preliminary title of your talk. The organizers plan to apply to grant agencies for financial support for young scientists from Latin America and the Caribbean, and the larger the international participation, the better are the chances of getting such a support :-) ********************************************************************************************************* The Second International Conference on Applied Mathematics and Informatics ICAMI'2013 San Andres Island, Colombia, November 24-29, 2013 http://matematicas.univalle.edu.co/icami/2013/?seccion=presentacion&idioma=… The Second International Conference on Applied Mathematics and Informatics (ICAMI'2013) will be organized during November 24 - 29, 2013 in San Andres Island, Colombia. ICAMI'2013 will be hosted by the community of Colombian scholars, engineers and other specialists working in the field of applied mathematics and its adjunct areas, informatics and computer sciences. The goal of ICAMI'2013 is to bring together mathematicians, engineers and other specialists from a variety of related disciplines, which are at the forefront of their research fields, to exchange original ideas and present high-level unpublished research in the areas of applied mathematics, informatics, and other related. The conference will include plenary lectures, mini-symposia, peer reviewed contributed papers and a posters session. We will also publish an abstracts' book of all contributions presented at the conference. The working language of the conference is ENGLISH. However, special sessions in SPANISH can be organized upon formal request sent to the Section/Mini-symposium Coordinator for groups of 3-5 oral presentations within underlying Thematic Section or Mini-symposium. At any case, all abstracts, slides and posters must be written in ENGLISH. The purpose of ICAMI'2013 is not limited to the arrangement of enriching lectures, short communications and posters presentations. We consider equally important to create a pleasant environment in which the participants can discuss diverse topics of their professional interest with other delegates, make new friends and meet the old ones. We are confident that the participation in the conference will bring you valued professional and cultural experience. Contributions with focus on the results of interdisciplinary projects and/or involving young researchers are especially welcome. ****************************************************************** About San Andres island The San Andres Archipelago is located in the Caribbean Sea, 720 kilometers northwest of the Colombian mainland. San Andres is the biggest island in this archipelago. Due to its ecosystem, biodiversity and beautiful landscapes, the UNESCO declared this archipelago in the year 2000 as Sea Flower Biosphere Reserve. Many historians agree that the archipelago was discovered in 1629 by English Puritans and Jamaican woodcutters and was then conquered by the Spanish in the second half of the 17th century. For two hundred years the English, Dutch, French and Spanish disputed ownership. During that same period, the famous English pirate Henry Morgan used San Andres as his base of operations and according to legends, as a hideaway for his much acclaimed treasure. A small mountain range, covered with coconut palms which rises to an elevation of 55 meters, crosses San Andres running north to south. The eastern shore is made of limestone deposits and white clay covered in part by coral sand carried in by the waves. The topsoil is thin and of a dark reddish color with frequent outcroppings of coral rock. The coral formation of San Andres, and particularly the reefs along the eastern shore, gives the sea an unbelievably beautiful array of colors. The climate is stable the year around. The average temperature is around 27ºC, but cool breezes blow throughout the year. For more info about the island, see http://matematicas.univalle.edu.co/icami/2013/?seccion=presentacion&idioma=…

1 0

[SIPTA] Extended deadline for ECSQARU 2013
by Gaag Jan. 27, 2013

Jan. 27, 2013

1 0

[SIPTA] FW: Minisymposium at ASCE-ICVRAM-ISUMA 2014 in Liverpool
by Kreinovich Jan. 24, 2013

Jan. 24, 2013

1 0

[SIPTA] FW: Call for papers: Mini Symposium "Efficient and Realistic Uncertainty Quantification" at APCOM 2013 (Singapore)
by Kreinovich Jan. 23, 2013

Jan. 23, 2013

1 0

[SIPTA] ISIPTA 13 - deadline extension to 12/02
by ISIPTA2013 Jan. 23, 2013

Jan. 23, 2013

============================================================================= ISIPTA '13 - CALL FOR PAPERS - DEADLINE EXTENSION (12th February) ============================================================================= Your help with circulating this announcement locally is much appreciated. Apologies for multiple postings. +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ISIPTA '13 8th International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications Tuesday 2 to Friday 5 July 2013 Compiegne, France http://www.sipta.org/isipta13 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Dear colleague(s), Given the simultaneity of other conference deadlines and to popular demand, we have decided to extend the deadline to submit full papers to ISIPTA to the 12th February 2013. The ISIPTA meetings are one of the primary international forums to present and discuss new results on the theories and applications of imprecise probability. This year, it will be held at the Université de Technologie de Compiegne from July 2 to July 5, 2013. Topics of interest include lower and upper expectations or previsions, interval valued probabilities, sets of probability measures, belief functions, Choquet capacities, fuzzy measures, comparative probability orderings, possibility measures, plausibility measures, and sets of desirable gambles. Imprecise probability models are needed in inference and decision problems where the relevant information is scarce, vague or conflicting, and where preferences may be incomplete. For further details about (pre)registration, paper submission, program committee, scientific and social program visit the ISIPTA '13 web site at http://www.sipta.org/isipta13/. IMPORTANT DATES Paper submission deadline: 12 February 2013. Posters only abstract submission deadline: 21 April 2013 Symposium: July 2-5, 2013. IJAR SPECIAL ISSUE Following the conference, a selection of extended paper from the conference will appear in a special issue of the International Journal of Approximate Reasoning. IJAR YOUNG RESEARCHER AWARD AND POSTER PRIZES We invite applications for the "IJAR Young Researcher Award", which is granted by the International Journal of Approximate Reasoning (IJAR), elsevier. The award is open to Master students, PhD students and young post-doc researchers who received their PhD after ISIPTA'11 and who have demonstrated excellence in research on imprecise probabilities (Career stage is taken into account in the judgment). In addition to this award, best poster prizes will be awarded at the end of the conference. STEERING COMMITTEE Fabio Cozman (Sao paulo University, Brazil) Thierry Denoeux (Université de Technologie de Compiegne, France) Sébastien Destercke (Université de Technologie de Compiegne, France) Thomas Fetz (Innsbruck University, Austria) Serafin Moral (Granada University, Spain) Teddy Seidenfeld (Carnegie Mellon University, USA) Matthias Troffaes (Durham University, UK) QUESTIONS If you have any questions about the symposium and/or about related events, please send an email to isipta13(a)hds.utc.fr, or at the following address: Sébastien Destercke, Université de Technologie de Compiegne, Centre de recherche de Royallieu, 60200 Compiègne, France. For more information about SIPTA, the international organisation responsible for organizing both the ISIPTA meetings and the SIPTA Schools on Imprecise Probabilities, please consult the SIPTA web site at http://www.sipta.org. The ISIPTA 2013 steering committee

1 0